供稿: 成军祥;王亚兰 | 时间: 2018-11-26 | 次数: |
作者单位:河南理工大学数学与信息科学学院
摘要:在经典模型基础上,考虑到保险公司退保事件的发生,假定保费收取、个体退保额以及理赔额均为相互独立的随机变量,提出并讨论含退保因素并且保单到达过程、退保过程以及理赔过程发生均为复合二项过程,建立一种符合实际运营的风险分析模型,通过定义调节系数及应用累进均值法则和Chebychev不等式对保险公司风险模型进行研究,得出模型的破产概率表达式及Lundberg不等式.
DOI:10.16186/j.cnki.1673-9787.2014.01.024
分类号:F840.3
Abstract:According to the actual situation,we assume that the arrival process of claim,insurance policy and refunding are independent random variables. A practical risk model with a refunding process is introduced, and the arrival of the term policies,the occurrences of claim and refunding are compound binominal processes. By defining the adjustment coefficient and applying a progressive average method and Chebychev inequality,the formula of ultimate ruin probability is proved simply,and a Lundberg inequality is derived.