| 时间: 2021-09-10 | 次数: |
左伟, 刘运涛, 李建林,等.基于Modflow和时间序列法的汝州市温泉镇地热可开采量预测[J].河南理工大学学报（自然科学版）,2021,40(5):56-62.
ZUO W, LIU Y T, LI J L, et al.Prediction of geothermal recoverable amount in Wenquan town of Ruzhou city based on Modflow and time series method[J].Journal of Henan Polytechnic University(Natural Science) ,2021,40(5):56-62.
基于Modflow和时间序列法的汝州市温泉镇地热可开采量预测
左伟1, 刘运涛1, 李建林2, 王树威2
1.河南省地质矿产勘查开发局 第五地质勘查院，河南 郑州450001;2.河南理工大学 资源环境学院，河南 焦作 454000
摘要:浅层地热资源作为一种埋藏浅、便于开发且清洁环保的可再生新能源，广泛分布于我国中东部的平原地区。为准确预测浅层地热的可开采量，以河南省汝州市温泉镇为例，将三维可视化地下水流建模软件Visual Modflow模拟出的浅层地热储层结果与常规时间序列法计算出的地热可开采量相比较，深入探讨两种方法主要的优缺点，并预测出研究区地热流体的最大可开采量应在2 400 ~3 432 m3/d之间。研究结果对当地地热资源的可持续开发利用提供了重要参考依据，同时表明将数值模拟法应用于浅层地热的勘查分析具有重要的价值。
关键词:浅层地热;可开采量预测;VisualModflow;时间序列法;汝州温泉镇
doi:10.16186/j.cnki.1673-9787.2020020033
基金项目:国家自然科学基金资助项目（41672240，41573095）；河南省自然科学基金资助项目（182300410155）；河南省高等学校重 点科研项目计划（16A170010）
收稿日期:2020/02/17
修回日期:2020/05/27
出版日期:2021/09/15
Prediction of geothermal recoverable amount in Wenquan town of Ruzhou city based on Modflow and time series method
ZUO Wei1, LIU Yuntao1, LI Jianlin2, WANG Shuwei2
1.No.， Zhengzhou 450001 ， Henan， China;2.Institute of Resources & Environment， Henan Polytechnic University ，Jiaozuo 454000 ， Henan， China
Abstract:As a renewable new energy source which is shallow buried ， easy to develop and clean ， shallow geo-thermal resources are widely distributed in the plains of central and eastern China. In order to accurately pre-dict the recoverable amount of shallow geothermal ， Wenquan town in Ruzhou city ，Henan province was taken as an example. Combining the results of shallow geothermal reservoir simulated by 3D visualization ground waterflow modeling software Visual Modflow with the geothermal recoverable amount calculated by conventional timeseries method ， the main advantages and disadvantages of the two methods were deeply discussed ， and the maxi-mum recoverable amount of geothermal fluid in the study area was predicted to be between 2 400 ~3 432 m3/d. The results provided an important reference for the sustainable development and utilization of local geothermal resources ， and it showed that the application of numerical simulation method in the exploration and analysis of shallow geothermal had positive value.
Key words:shallow geothermal;mineable forecast;Visual Modflow;time series method;Ruzhou wenquan town
